Project update · August 3, 2026
Actual Data Moved Ahead of the Forecast
The homepage no longer leads with the 2027 crossover. It leads with three reproducible 2001–2026 growth comparisons and places the forecast in a separate, visibly labeled panel.
ActualForecastAssumptionInterpretation
Last reviewed August 22, 2026
What the numbers show
- Added actual growth results of 22.8%, 29.6%, and 37.2% across three compensation bases.
- Added a base-year selector and downloadable robustness table generated from the public data files.
- Added evidence-needed modules, documentary image credits, correction contact, and explicit causation boundaries.
Substantive changes
| Area | Previous treatment | August 3 treatment |
|---|---|---|
| Lead claim | 2027 forecast crossover | 2001–2026 actual growth across three bases |
| Forecast | Part of the primary ledger | Separate hatched panel labeled forecast, not enacted |
| FERS | Methodology-page disclosure | New-hire cohort warning beside selected-basis values |
| Sentinel | Provocative juxtaposition | Program context with explicit rejection of causal inference |
| Images | Illustrative mission imagery | Dated official documentary photograph with credit record |
Correction channel
Suspected factual or calculation errors can be sent to corrections@federalpayparity.org with the page URL, disputed value, and supporting source.